DavidK has an early analysis of the upcoming Escobar versus Fennenbock race for the Democrat nomination for Beto’s open Congressional seat here:
[Nobody at the national level] is going to throw money at a safe democratic seat primary. A democrat is a democrat is a democrat these days – it makes no sense to spend money picking one over another. Especially since the Ds have thrown more money at fewer races than they ever have before in history and lost them all. Right now the party and the PACs that operate at the direction of the party (yes, it’s illegal, but they all do it) are laser focused on vulnerable house seats – both R and D. They aren’t going to send money to the safest seat in the entire country to pick a kitty in a cat fight.
Party primaries are ideally just beauty contests. You may not know this, but each party has a federal and state platform and their candidates are pledged to carry that platform in its entirety. And if that’s the case, there’s no policy differences between one Republican running for a house seat and another Republican running for a house seat (same for Democrats). It should come down to picking which one will do better against the Democrat in the race… which one looks better (metaphorically) in the swimsuit part of the contest and answered “world peace” more convincingly.
DavidK has more interesting, informed, analyses over there at his RefusetheJuice blog.
Check it out.